Based on the record data of water disasters and the 5-min precipitation of 40 meteorological observation stations along the Shuozhou-Huanghua Railway from 2017 to 2019, the characteristics of railway water disasters and precipitation distribution were analyzed, then the three precipitation factors including continuous precipitation, the hourly maximum precipitation and the 24-hour precipitation were counted, the rainfall warning thresholds of no warning, patrol warning, speed limit warning and blockade warning of railway sections in plains and mountainous areas were formulated by using the mean-standard deviation method and the maximum value method. The results show that the water disasters of the Shuozhou-Huanghua Railway mainly occurred in July and August, and the duration of precipitation was mostly within 48 hours. The precipitation types causing water disasters were mainly local rainstorm, short-time heavy precipitation and long-duration precipitation, the railway water disasters in plain sections were mainly caused by local rainstorm, but the main cause of mountainous sections was long-duration precipitation. For railway section in the plain, the accuracy rate of patrol warning was 88.5%, the false rate was 11.5%, the accuracy rate of speed limit warning was 100%, for the railway section in the mountainous, the accuracy of patrols warning was 88.9% and the false rate was 11.1%. The rainfall warning threshold for railway sections in plains and mountainous areas could provide reference for safe running and efficient operation of railway.
Based on the observation data of national weather station, Doppler radar data, National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis data and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) fifth-generation global atmospheric reanalysis (ERA5) from 2010 to 2019, the echo pattern,climatic characteristics as well as the change of physical quantity of heavy precipitation with quasi-linear MCSs were analyzed qualitatively and quantitatively. The results are as follows: (1) There were three types of echo patterns, namely trailing stratiform (TS) type, leading stratiform (LS) type, and parallel stratiform (PS) type.TS type had the highest frequency, while LS and PS types were relatively rare. Heavy precipitation with quasi-linear MCSs had obvious characteristics of monthly and diurnal variation, and it occurred frequently in July and first half of the night. (2) The heavy precipitation with quasi-linear MCSs formed under four synoptic-scale circulation patterns, namely low trough, transverse trough, low vortex and westerly circulation types, and the low trough type was most. (3) The relatively dry and cold air coming from the west direction at 700 hPa and the low level southwest airflow acted together, and it intensified the stratification instability of the atmosphere and improved the precipitation efficiency. The larger southerly wind component of water vapor at 850 hPa was more conducive to the formation of rainfall weather with relatively small rain area but large rain intensity. The coordination of the southeasterly wind at 925 hPa significantly enlarged the heavy rainfall area. (4) The heavy precipitation with quasi-linear MCSs generated under strong thermal environment. The convective available potential energy (CAPE) varied from 316.7 to 1545.7 J·kg-1, vertical energy helicity (VEH) was positive and it was obviously greater than 2×10-4 J·m·kg-1·s-2, which were the favorable energy conditions for the formation of the heavy precipitation with quasi-linear MCSs. In the process of heavy precipitation of PS type MCSs, the upper level horizontal divergence strengthened the pumping effect, and it allowed the large ascent rate to be maintained. The superior dynamic condition was one of the important reasons for the longer duration heavy precipitation.